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Big Bets · size × conviction

Where the best investors bet biggest.

The most concentrated high-conviction positions across the 30 tracked superinvestors. Position size multiplied by our signed ConvictionScore — so a bet only ranks high if it has both size and consensus behind it.

Bet score = position% × ConvictionScore (buy-side only). A 20% position at +80 conviction beats a 20% position at +30 conviction, and both beat a 3% "spray and pray" position at +90. Dataroma lists top holdings. HoldLens tells you which of those top holdings are actually backed by the cross-manager signal.

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#ManagerTickerPositionBet score
1Chris Hohn
TCI Fund Management
GE
GE Aerospace
18.2%
746
2Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
FICO
Fair Isaac
18.7%
580
3Michael Burry
Scion Asset Management
BABA
Alibaba
21.3%
554
4Mohnish Pabrai
Pabrai Investment Funds
MU
Micron Technology
24.6%
541
5Mohnish Pabrai
Pabrai Investment Funds
BABA
Alibaba
18.4%
478
6Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
SCHW
Charles Schwab
17.8%
445
7David Einhorn
Greenlight Capital
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
28.7%
402
8Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
MCO
Moody's
22.4%
314
9Prem Watsa
Fairfax Financial
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
13.5%
284
10Li Lu
Himalaya Capital
BABA
Alibaba
9.7%
252
11Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
TRMD
Torm plc
14.8%
237
12Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
HEI
HEICO Corp
8.4%
210
13Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
MCO
Moody's
14.2%
199
14Chuck Akre
Akre Capital Management
MCO
Moody's
13.4%
188
15David Rolfe
Wedgewood Partners
FICO
Fair Isaac
5.9%
183
16Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
MSCI
MSCI Inc
15.3%
168
17Prem Watsa
Fairfax Financial
MU
Micron Technology
7.4%
163
18Stanley Druckenmiller
Duquesne Family Office
COHR
Coherent
6.8%
156
19David Tepper
Appaloosa Management
BABA
Alibaba
5.4%
140
20Bill Ackman
Pershing Square Capital
BN
Brookfield Corp
9.5%
133
21Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
9.4%
132
22Chris Hohn
TCI Fund Management
MCO
Moody's
9.4%
132
23Michael Burry
Scion Asset Management
JD
JD.com
17.6%
123
24John Armitage
Egerton Capital
SCHW
Charles Schwab
4.7%
118
25Warren Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
4.9%
103
26Carl Icahn
Icahn Enterprises
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
4.8%
101
27William von Mueffling
Cantillon Capital Management
MCO
Moody's
6.4%
90
28François Rochon
Giverny Capital
MCO
Moody's
5.5%
77
29Warren Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway
KHC
Kraft Heinz
3.7%
70
30Polen Capital
Polen Capital Management
NOW
ServiceNow
7.8%
70
31Warren Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway
MCO
Moody's Corp
4.4%
62
32David Tepper
Appaloosa Management
UBER
Uber
4.1%
61
33Terry Smith
Fundsmith
NOVO
Novo Nordisk
8.4%
50
34Warren Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway
CB
Chubb
2.9%
46
35Li Lu
Himalaya Capital
GOOG
Alphabet
17.1%
34
36Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
BRO
Brown & Brown
10.9%
33
37Jeffrey Ubben
ValueAct Capital
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
12.4%
25
38Bill Ackman
Pershing Square Capital
GOOG
Alphabet Class C
11.7%
23
39Mohnish Pabrai
Pabrai Investment Funds
GOOG
Alphabet
9.7%
19
40David Rolfe
Wedgewood Partners
GOOG
Alphabet Class C
6.5%
13
41Stanley Druckenmiller
Duquesne Family Office
NVDA
NVIDIA
11.4%
11
42Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
VST
Vistra Corp
11.2%
11
43David Tepper
Appaloosa Management
NVDA
NVIDIA
10.2%
10
44Seth Klarman
Baupost Group
VST
Vistra Corp
9.6%
10
45Tom Slater
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
NVDA
NVIDIA
9.4%
9
46Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
PR
Permian Resources
7.6%
8
47Chase Coleman
Tiger Global Management
NVDA
NVIDIA
7.1%
7
48John Armitage
Egerton Capital
NVDA
NVIDIA
6.4%
6
49Andreas Halvorsen
Viking Global Investors
NVDA
NVIDIA
6.2%
6
50William von Mueffling
Cantillon Capital Management
SPGI
S&P Global
5.5%
6

ConvictionScore is HoldLens's unified −100..+100 signal combining smart-money consensus, insider activity, track record, trend streak, concentration, and dissent. Only positions with positive conviction are shown (sells are on /sells). A manager's own holding company (e.g. IEP for Icahn) is excluded.

Lone-wolf big bets

Concentration ≥8% · ownership ≤3

Where a tier-1 manager is betting big on a stock almost nobody else tracks. Fewer eyes = more potential alpha — and far more risk. These are the contrarian concentration plays where consensus hasn't arrived yet.

#ManagerTickerPosition
1David Einhorn
Greenlight Capital
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
28.7%
2Mohnish Pabrai
Pabrai Investment Funds
MU
Micron Technology
24.6%
3Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
FICO
Fair Isaac
18.7%
4Chris Hohn
TCI Fund Management
GE
GE Aerospace
18.2%
5Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
SCHW
Charles Schwab
17.8%
6Michael Burry
Scion Asset Management
JD
JD.com
17.6%
7Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
MSCI
MSCI Inc
15.3%
8Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
TRMD
Torm plc
14.8%
9Prem Watsa
Fairfax Financial
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
13.5%
10Jeffrey Ubben
ValueAct Capital
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
12.4%
11Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
VST
Vistra Corp
11.2%
12Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
BRO
Brown & Brown
10.9%
13Seth Klarman
Baupost Group
VST
Vistra Corp
9.6%
14Bill Ackman
Pershing Square Capital
BN
Brookfield Corp
9.5%
15Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
9.4%
16Terry Smith
Fundsmith
NOVO
Novo Nordisk
8.4%
17Dev Kantesaria
Valley Forge Capital
HEI
HEICO Corp
8.4%

Why this beats Dataroma

  • Combined score, not just size. Dataroma shows each manager's top holdings in isolation. HoldLens multiplies position size by the cross-manager ConvictionScore so a 20% bet in a +80 consensus name ranks above a 20% bet in a −20 name.
  • Lone-wolf detection. A separate ranking surfaces concentrated positions in low-ownership names — the anti-crowding play where a tier-1 manager found something before the consensus did.
  • One click to full thesis. Click any ticker to see the full signed −100..+100 ConvictionScore breakdown, insider activity, and five-year projected return.
Deep dive

Reading for your research

Optional background reading on interpreting company disclosures and investing methods. These books do not validate a signal or predict returns.

Amazon affiliate links — as an Amazon Associate, HoldLens earns from qualifying purchases and membership trials at no extra cost to you. These are books we genuinely recommend. Not investment advice; always do your own research.